Euro rebounded after comments from Trichet

April 9th, 2010 by Benton Pena View Comments »

The week is closing note the fiscal situation of central Greece. Earlier today, the president of the European Central Bank (ECB), Jean Claude Trichet, has reconfirmed that the country which will not enter the Euro Zone and not the default suspend payments, making clear the full support of the monetary authority in the country Hellene. It is clear that the fall of Greece would question the economic sustainability of its other members, so, Trichet’s words have given a respite to the euro and equity markets.

The key is to know that in yesterday’s Greek Finance Minister Giorgos Papaconstantinou said that the country will continue to issue debt despite the high rates of government bonds in that country in the markets. At the conference yesterday, the Greek bond yields reached 7.32%, its highest ever since the adoption of the euro by Greece in 2001, because of lingering concerns about the ability of this country to pay its huge debt . » Read more: Euro rebounded after comments from Trichet

Euro loses position after Greece’s fiscal outlook

April 8th, 2010 by Benton Pena View Comments »

At the conference today, the eyes will be on three key activities, the Initial jobless in the U.S., that will give us an overview of American labor sector, and decisions on interest rates European Central Bank (ECB) and Bank of England (BoE). Although taken for granted that the ECB will not increase the value of money, currently at 1%, it is expected the outlook for the monetary authority on the European economy and the fiscal situation in Greece. With regard to the BoE, not expected changes in rates (0.5%) although expectant traders await an increase in the “Quantitatve Easing Program”, currently consists of 200,000 million pounds.

Importantly, the euro continued to depreciate against the greenback, bringing the annual minimum located at 1.3276, after news a possible suspension of payments by Greece, as well as the government will help Helen to the country’s major banks who have suffered losses of more than 10,000 million euros. Despite the confirmed participation of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) in the Greek rescue plan, the outlook for the member of the bloc remain bleak. » Read more: Euro loses position after Greece’s fiscal outlook

Canadian dollar reaches parity with the Greenback

April 6th, 2010 by Benton Pena View Comments »

The Euro yield positions against the U.S. dollar at the prospect that Greece may not be able to meet the requirements of the Euro and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) to slash its high fiscal deficit. It is important to be aware of the ads that may come from the Hellenic country in the coming days due to the arrival of two members of the IMF to inspect the tax reform and tax. It is the first visit by the agency after signing the agreement between the European Commission, IMF and Greece.

Also, remember that this month Greece this month plans to launch a multimillion-dollar bond issue denominated in dollars, which will range between 5,000 million and 10,000 million, for which the country will be presented to investors across the Atlantic as an emerging economy following the decline of interest in Europe by helena debt. The manager will manage the operation after Morgan Stanley Goldman Sachs plans to place bonds Greeks among U.S. and Asian investors become frustrated by rumors of China’s rejection of Greece taking on debt. Greek debt issuance in the United States marks the first such operation carried out by Greece in nearly two years and forms part of government efforts to address the maturities of its debt by next May, amounting to about 10,000 million euros. » Read more: Canadian dollar reaches parity with the Greenback

Euro lost positions against the Dollar

April 5th, 2010 by Benton Pena View Comments »

The week began full of news, especially the good results in the U.S. unemployment rate last Friday, which remained stable at 9.7%, while in non-farm payrolls (Payrolls) increased by 162,000 jobs, the highest of the last three years. Furthermore, we observed that the Swiss franc has lost ground against the euro and the dollar, after rumors of a possible intervention by the Swiss National Bank (SNB) to stop the rally of the Swiss currency. Among other things, continuing political tensions between China and the United States due to the strengthening of the yuan. Repeatedly recall that U.S. President Barack Obama has asked his Chinese counterpart a softening of its currency with no response so far. For its part, the Treasury secretary, Timothy Geithner, decided early Sunday to postpone the publication of its report on exchange rate policy, which presumably certify that China manipulates its currency to keep it fixed to the dollar. Importantly, U.S. manufacturers say the yuan is overvalued by up to 40% and that this is one reason why there is the huge trade deficit.

Although the European market will be inactive in the meeting today, eyes will be across the ocean, highlighting the ISM non-manufacturing and pending home sales in the U.S.. » Read more: Euro lost positions against the Dollar

Euro recovers losses against the dollar

March 31st, 2010 by Benton Pena View Comments »

Completing the first quarter of 2010, we observed that the euro recovered from losses in the day yesterday following the announcement that the unemployment rate of Germany and the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for the Euro Zone have exceeded expectations. Among other things, the yen depreciated to the minimum of 8 weeks against the euro, at the prospect of a recovery in the U.S. labor sector, which would require less active and more foreign refuge high interest rate. So far, we have known that housing construction permits in Australia have recorded a contraction of 3.3% in February, while in Japan, the manufacturing PMI rebounded strongly to the 52.4 points, indicating a clear expansion of the steel industry . In New Zealand, kiwi depreciates against major majors, after business confidence weakened in March, due to uncertainties around the major world powers.

As mentioned earlier, Germany’s unemployment rate stood at 8%, when the previous data was 8.1%, while in the Eurozone, the CPI annual preliminary exceeded previous estimates, an increase of 1.5 % when the expected figure was 1.1%. » Read more: Euro recovers losses against the dollar

Great Australian dollar operation

March 30th, 2010 by Benton Pena View Comments »

The demand for risky assets still on the market, increasing the feeling “bullish” between the operators, after the sale of bonds to 7 years Greece has been a success and after the prospects for employment data due on Friday in the United States reflect a recovery in the labor sector. So far, we see how the euro, sterling and the currencies of high interest rate as the Aussie and kiwi benefit of this trend, being higher still, the AUD rally, increasing the prospects of a possible rise in interest rates on 6 April. So far, we have learned that the February industrial production in Japan has been a contraction of 0.9% in China after the Lunar New Year began, weakening exports Nipponese, while in Switzerland, the Index of UBS consumption has exceeded expectations. Despite the above, the most relevant was the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) and annualized quarterly UK. According to the National Statistics Agency, the UK economy registered a contraction of 3.1% annualized rate, when the previous figure was -5.9%, while the quarterly GDP grew 0.4 %. » Read more: Great Australian dollar operation

Dollar expectant of the NFP

March 29th, 2010 by Benton Pena View Comments »

At the beginning of the week, look like crosses the main listed market higher, after learning that the European Commission confirmed the rescue plan for Greece. However, it is clear that the euro has appreciated significantly against the greenback, currently operating below the altitude at 1.3500. Among other things, today we have learned that consumer confidence in the Euro Zone has recorded two-year highs in March, beating market expectations, renewing optimism about the stability of the economic bloc. The main key of that spike is due to the weakening of the European currency, which benefited the export sector.

It also grants mortgages UK have seen a contraction in February, while the M4 Money stock remained in line with expectations. During the evening session, has highlighted the results of the annualized retail sales in Japan. According to the Bureau of Statistics, retail sales grew by 4.2% in February, 2.4% higher than predicted by the operators.

For the next few hours, the eyes will be on the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for Germany, while in the U.S., the highlight will be the results of the conference Personal Income and Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner. For this week, the market will be waiting for employment data across the ocean. For now, it is estimated that the unemployment rate will remain at 9.7% for the second consecutive month. » Read more: Dollar expectant of the NFP

Day for the euro after European Summit

March 25th, 2010 by Benton Pena View Comments »

Today will be an important day for the euro, to begin the summit of the Commission of the Euro Zone, where they expected a final decision on the ambitious plan cuts Greece, participation or not the IMF and aid to other countries danger such as Portugal and Spain. For its part, the eyes will be on Germany and its chancellor, Angela Merkel, the refusal to provide aid to Greece and to accept help from other international agencies, increasing the prospects of instability in the economic bloc. In the market, traders continue to focus on the target of 1.30-1.25 bearish in the short term if not reach agreement in the coming weeks. Among other things, observe as the pound recovers from losses in yesterday’s session, after the British Finance Minister Alistair Darling, announced the government budget for 2010. Among the initiatives to promote growth, Darling announced a special package of 2,500 million pounds for the industry, as well as investments in sectors such as digital and unemployment benefits. However, a measure that has affected the market has been the elimination of property taxes for people first entering the housing market. Finally, the highest authority in finance in the United Kingdom reiterated its commitment to halve the deficit (currently estimated to be 12.6% of GDP) for the next four years and said the debt will be in 170 billion pounds by the end of this year.

Among other things, yesterday we met during the Asian session that the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) from New Zealand stood at 0.4% in the monthly rate, while in the year, the New Zealand economy contracted 1.3%. As a result, the kiwi has depreciated 25 pips against the dollar at the time of posting, posting a daily minimum at 0.6994. » Read more: Day for the euro after European Summit

Risks in Greece undermining the Euro

March 23rd, 2010 by Benton Pena View Comments »

After the day yesterday, the dollar registered the three-week highs against the euro at the prospect that the European Commission did not reach agreement on tax cut plan of Greece, now observe how in both the dollar such as the yen and Swiss franc positions move against the main majors, following increasing demand for the same as the value of refuge. Note that the support on the above plan is not unanimous. Germany, the bloc’s economic engine, has underlined its opposition to aid to Greece after claiming a series of “legal issues” and state that the Hellenic government is not threatened with insolvency.

Interestingly, as in the previous session, Japan’s currency against the greenback is catching, appreciating 70 pips after the Senate approved the most important reform in American history in which, after the management of its president, Barack Obama, 95% of the population will have access to health coverage in the coming years.

For the day today, all eyes will be on the leading indicators in Canada, while in the U.S., the most important activities are the sales of existing homes, the Fed Manufacturing Survey of Philadelphia and ABC Consumer Confidence / Washington Post. So far, we have learned that mortgage approvals in February MBA UK have exceeded expectations, while the Consumer Price Index (CPI) showed a decline in Britain last month, to settle at 3%, when the previous figure was 3.5%. As a result, the cable depreciated 75 pips at the time of the announcement. » Read more: Risks in Greece undermining the Euro

demand for dollars in the market

March 22nd, 2010 by Benton Pena View Comments »

Fiscal risks in Europe continue to weaken the euro and sterling. On one hand, Greece has failed so far the European Commission approval on its plan to cut its huge deficit, whereas in the UK, increasing the prospects of a new recession, if the British economy does not cut its current debt estimated at 12.6% of GDP. As a result, the euro fell to the lowest in two weeks at 1.3503 against the dollar, while cable flirts with double-deck located at 1.4939 dollars per pound. Among other things, the dollar rallied against major majors, after parliament passed major healthcare reform in history, in what was allocated 960,000 million over 10 years to provide health coverage to 95% of the U.S. population.

For the next few hours, the eyes will be on the press conferences of the presidents of the Bank of England (BoE) and European Central Bank (ECB), Mervyn King and Jean Claude Trichet, while across the ocean, the market will be waiting to address the Secretary of U.S. Treasury, Timothy Geithner, at the American Enterprise Institute, on financial reform.

Furthermore, we must emphasize once again that U.S. has expressed its disagreement on the weakening of the yuan. On Thursday, Geithner said that China will eventually need to implement more flexible measures in its monetary policy, because the current levy, set by the Bank of China since 2008, not only detrimental to China, but also its main trading partners. According to U.S. figures, U.S. exporters estimate that the yuan has depreciated 40% against the dollar, giving its products an edge in world markets. » Read more: demand for dollars in the market